C&C. Far From Hopeless. Avdiivka: Beginning of the End?

February 18 | Posted by mrossol | Childers, Disinformation, Psyops, Pushing Back, Ukraine

More thoughts on why yesterday’s Tucker interview is great news, a subscriber-only bonus post about the most significant Proxy War development since it started, and the resulting epochal crisis.- J CHILDERS

Very good, needed, post to keep me grounded in what is and is not ‘reality’ MROSSOL

Source: A NEW HOPIUM ☙ Sunday, February 18, 2024 ☙ C&C NEWS

THE BIGGER PICTURE

In Star Wars Episode IV: A New Hope (also just called Star Wars, but that’s another story), a plucky band of misfit, disenfranchised, political insurrectionists get together, mount a heroic all-in final assault against all odds — in flying smart cars —  against Big Government’s ultimate weapon, an impenetrable, unbeatable Directed Energy Weapon that was literally as big as the Moon.

You remember it.

Speaking of Death Stars, state-affiliated Google can be as fascinating as it is frustrating. While the search engine slyly suppresses the national conversation, it teaches us through its omissions what the directors of the censorship regime fear the most. For instance, this morning Google pretended not to understand my simple request for a picture of a group of people together lifting a car. Ironically, I found it on TikTok.

Here you go, today’s thematic illustration :

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Yesterday some people felt despondent, distressed, and discouraged by Mike Benz’s revelation of the nefarious forces opposing democracy. Today’s morale-boosting post will be based on three principles. First, the Bible has something to say about that awful feeling of hopelessness, which always looks permanent but never actually lasts:

Weeping may endure for a night, but joy cometh in the morning. — Psalms 30:5b.

Despair — re-branded for the post-pandemic as being ‘black pilled’ — is designed to conceal our collective capabilities. But even a blind girl could see the power in collective effort:

“Alone we can do so little; together we can do so much.” – Helen Keller

Finally, and somehow appropriately, an epic American poet drew us a lyrical map to a better future:

“There is no way out but through. — Robert Frost.

But Jeff, I can hear some of you saying, what can we do? How can we possibly fight a sprawling, shadowy, sinister military-intelligence axis? I will suggest that is the wrong question but I will answer it anyway.

The Good News

First we must correct any misunderstanding that yesterday’s Tucker interview was somehow bad news. It wasn’t; it was actually good news. Let me give you an example.

Suppose you started having bad headaches, especially — but not always — whenever you saw a badly written, politically-correct remake movie. But then it gets progressively worse, mutating into migraines triggered by drag brunches, generals in high heels, and bald, lipsticked, luggage lifting nuclear waste officials. It even happens without cheap female knockoffs of traditional male leads, lacking any story arc, character flaws, or internal struggles. It seems serious, so you finally give in and trot off to see the neurologist, fearing the worst. Brain cancer? An inoperable clot somewhere? Mangled neurons? Or even … a toxic allergy to wokeness?

After many time-consuming tests, scans of sensitive spots, penetrating probes, and intimate interviews, followed by worrisome weeks of endless waiting for word, the doctor finally dishes the diagnosis. It’s a brain parasite, toxoplasmii Pelosi, and the doctor recommends immediate brain surgery to wriggle out the damnable worm, plus six weeks of bed rest, a year of IV antibiotics, and your solemn promise to cut back to a dozen house cats max.

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You trudge out the doctor’s office, dial your spouse with numb fingers, and explain the diagnosis. But your spouse seems oddly excited. “No,” they explain, “this is actually good news! At least now we know what it is and how to fix it.”

In his Tucker interview, Mike Benz didn’t tell us anything about any newproblem. He ably revealed a slow-motion disaster unfolding for a long time. The CIA’s dirty tricks only metastasized and took on a new form, responding to the new environment of social media and the Internet. “Conspiracy theorists” have been complaining for decades about media’s capture by government (see, e.g. ‘Project Mockingbird’)  but there has never been any collective will to resist, change, or even admit there was a problem.

Probably because it didn’t seem to really affect regular folks. Well, that’s changed, hasn’t it?

It’s changed a lot. You have to work awfully hard to believe nobody’s doing anything. Now there’s a major Supreme Court case that is right on point (Missouri v. Biden). There’s relentless disclosure of Deep State’s dirty tricks like Tucker’s interview. There are citizens like Mike Benz and Joe Rogan and Elon Musk who are well-funded and working day and night to expose them.

And there is a growing group of millions of highly-concerned citizens who are not just willing to listen but are eager to learn. As of this morning, Tucker’s Mike Benz interview has nearly 25 million views. Tucker’s interview with Putin has surpassed 200 million views. Like antibodies assembling to resist a marxist mind virus, the culture is changing.

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In the Netherlands alone, there are now more farmers who are convinced globalism threatens civilization than there were Americans ten years ago who thought government propaganda and corruption was any kind of a realproblem.

Politics, as they say, is downstream from culture.

It is a big job.

Let there be no doubt; we have a lot of work to do to clean up this mess. But a community can’t clean up its mess unless citizens can collectively agree on what and where the mess is. When there’s no consensus over defining the problem, everybody just argues in circles and nothing changes.

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All these 2024 disclosures, the Tucker interviews with Putin and Benz, the Taibbi and Shellenberger stories, Joe Rogan, Seymour Hersh, Russel Brand, and so on, are getting everybody on the same page.

And once enough folks agree on what the problem is, we won’t just be lifting cars, we will start lifting Death Stars. Which is why they want to stop us from talking, shut down uncompromised influencers, and keep us all fighting each other.

We are stronger than we think.

If the bad actors had the power to pull our plug, they’d have already done it. If they were secure in their powers, they wouldn’t have to operate in the dark. They obviously aren’t secure, nor are they all-powerful. However “close” you might think they are, they clearly aren’t there yet. Which means we — at least collectively — are still more powerful than they are.

They’re afraid of us.

To retain and grow their power, the globalist oligarchs can need a substantial part of society to support and protect them. Once the forces opposing them reach a certain critical mass, which is probably far below a majority, it’s all over for them. That’s why they have to censor and obfuscate. That’s why they have to bend the law to the breaking point and create all-new ‘disinformation’ agencies.

The social antibodies are already beginning to work. The globalist viruses are weakening. As Exhibit A, behold the short and unremarkable career of former Harvard President and grotesque DEI caricature Claudia Gay:

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I could add lots more. Bud Lite, Trucker Convoys, Eagle Pass, Dylan Mulvaney, Anthem kneelers, farmer protests, chainsaw presidents, luggage thieves, real talk of gold-based currencies, failed WHO initiatives, defeated mandates, and so on and so forth.

Our social body remains infected by parasites and needs more time to recover. It might get worse before it gets better. But the body is healing itself. We just have to keep nursing it back to health. We are the body and we are also the antibodies. The globalists — or whatever you want to call them — are the parasitic infection.

But what to do?

First of all, stop worrying about everything that you can’t control.

“And which of you by being anxious can add a single hour to his span of life?” — Matthew 6:27.

We are in a mental war. And fear is the mind killer.

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The best cure for worry is doing something practical. If you don’t know what else to do, do local, local, local. Oppose porn and drag at the local school board meeting. Support local freedom candidates, or support an influencer who is moving the needle and not just doomblogging. Go get on the library board. Volunteer at the local Republican Party and start earning a voice with your sweat equity. When you disagree with other conservatives, and you will, don’t take your toys and go home. Compromise for now, and work to build consensus over time.

Together we will lift the parasitic Death Star and stuff it right into the globalists’ reverse aperture.  Now get out there and keep lifting, you joyful warriors.

🚀 The Proxy War suffered its biggest defeat this week and the world is poised at a critical inflection point. Yesterday CNN ran a polished bit of propaganda headlined, “Ukraine’s forces withdraw from key eastern town of Avdiivka after months of fighting.

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They had to say something. Every corporate media platform primly described the loss of Avdiivka as a graceful “withdrawal,” a tactical decision the Ukrainians made to confound the Russians once again, just a temporary setback to allow time for regrouping. But the most reliable warbloggers — on both sides — are using more alarming and direct words and phrases like ‘chaos,’ ‘total collapse,’ ‘disorganization,’ ‘massacre,’ ‘routed,’ and ‘catastrophe.’

It was the single most devastating loss for Ukraine since the Proxy War started, both militarily and more importantly for the war planners: it was a public relations disaster. While you probably never heard of the fortress city of Avdiivka, it has consistently been described as one of the most strategically-critical positions in the eastern half of Ukraine — if not in the entire country.

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Despite the direct involvement of every major world government and the rapt attention of the world’s most well-funded and well-organized news media — show me one place in the world more closely studied than wartime Ukraine— reliable information about the war is still maddeningly impossible to obtain. It might be the most heavily propagandized conflict in history. So we must rely on plucky, independent war bloggers on Telegram. In a kind of informational survival of the fittest, over the last 24 months some bloggers have proven to more consistently be reliable sources of information than others.

All that to say, this week the most reliable war bloggers described a hellish nightmare unfolding in Avdiivka, with a sudden collapse of admittedly courageous Ukrainian troops, those last brave holdouts who were being slaughtered or captured by the Russians yesterday in the thousands.

In one of war’s bizarre, baffling, and bitter coincidences, Ukraine’s top general, Oleksandr Syrskyi, had just assumed command in time to command the loss of Avdiivka. Ironically, Syrskyi is the same general also tarred with the loss of Ukraine’s second-worst strategic defeat — the brutal nine-month siege of Bahkmut. His generalship over that godforsaken city earned him wide disdain by the troops and the unflattering nickname, “The Butcher.”

Through a wild confluence of events, Syrskyi’s permanent record now includes both humiliating defeats.  This time though, mere days after assuming command, Syrskyi practically sprinted to order his troops out of the  Russians’ diabolical incinerator, a military pressure-cooker for poor Ukrainians who were dying in wholesale lots while laboring heroically, unsupported, without ammunition or supplies, nearly surrounded but under direct orders to stick it at all costs.

Yesterday’s orders to retreat were long overdue and nearly came too late.

At the last possible second, before the final possible avenue of retreat was closed, Syrskyi wisely pulled the plug, telling media he had made the decision to avoid encirclement and, uncharacteristically, to “preserve the lives and health of servicemen.” It was the right call, a hundred percent, but the truth was The Butcher simply could not afford having another bloody meat-grinder pinned on his flagging record.

As you know, I usually eschew the play-by-play in Ukraine, both because I am unqualified — I’m a lawyer, not a military strategist — but also because high quality war commentary is widely available elsewhere and because there’s simply no way for me to tell for certain what’s true and what is military-grade propaganda. It’s mostly guesswork.

But we know for sure that the Ukrainians just got handed the worst news in two years. Let’s discuss Avdiivka a little more to understand why the loss is so strategically significant, since the loss is a geopolitical inflection point that probably affects us all in one way or another.

Starting well before 2014, NATO assisted Ukraine with developing Avdiivka into a major strategic outpost. The town is strategically positioned amidst a key intersection of highways controlling access between eastern and western areas. It enjoys terrific geographic advantages surrounded by heights making it extremely defensible. And over the years, NATO war engineers helped build out a vast defensive perimeter with concrete walls, ditches, trench networks, bunkers, chokepoints, anti-tank defenses, and the like.

Avdiivka was probably the most well-defended military base in Ukraine. It was manned with Ukraine’s most experienced soldiers. Until the Russians made re-supply nearly impossible, Avdiivka was supplied with NATO’s top weapons and best ammunition. It had every advantage Zelensky could give it.

Long before the Proxy War started, the literature was packed with suggestions that Russia — probably correctly — viewed the fortress city of Avdiivka as a NATO construct intended to be a key base from which to launch a future land war against Russia. Russia laid siege to Avdiivka last October and ever since, that particular struggle has been described as the fiercest fighting in the war.

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Throughout the war, Ukraine’s former-comedian-turned-president Zelensky continually described Avdiivka as an invaluable strategic location that Ukraine simply could not afford to lose. The town’s precarious fate recently became a regular feature in  urgent Congressional briefings used to justify more war funding. Until the last month or so, when its loss became all but certain, corporate media commenters and DOD officials described preserving the town as a critical military priority.

Here’s one example headline, just two months ago in late December, showing how military experts believed Avdiivka was the linchpin for the entire war:

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It is no exaggeration to say the fate of the fortress city was frequently linked to the success of the Proxy War itself. If Ukraine lost Avdiivka, Ukraine would also, inevitably, inexorably, inescapably lose the war.

After the Russians captured Bahkmut over a year ago, they stopped to take a long breather, giving the Ukrainians time to recoup and rebuild a new defensive line. At the time, Russia was dealing with a recalcitrant Wagner Group that needed to be replaced. But this time, the warbloggers report that Russia is following the standard military playbook for a win of this significance: this time, the Russian army is pressing forward and giving the Ukrainians no time to rest or recover.

As I said, Western corporate media is spinning the story as a minor setback, but the wide coverage of the story and little hints here and there reveal the outlines of the real problem. But one group who cares nothing for Western media reports about the war is the Ukrainian army itself. And from independent reports, the Ukrainian army is not happy, not in any way, with how things are going.

Morale among the Ukrainians is catastrophically-low. Zelensky has, once again, fled the country during this difficult time, ostensibly to recruit foreign support, but more likely to cut off possibility of a coup. A coup has now become a real possibility. Troop morale is not something easily controlled by Zelensky’s NATO minders far from the frontlines in Poland and Germany.

It all amounts to a terrific crisis. The jewel of Ukraine’s military has fallen. The Russian army is advancing. At this critical moment, Ukraine’s army is headed by an unqualified, inexperienced, brand-new top general widely hated by the troops. The troops are understandably feeling restless and ornery. Even if we give the Ukrainians an infusion of billions of dollars in new tanks and weapons, they might just turn around and use those tanks and weapons against the Zelensky regime.

It’s a conundrum.

Zooming out even further, Ukraine’s crisis extends to all of us. The controversial $61 billion-dollar Ukraine aid package was intended to delay the inevitable loss of the war until after November’s elections. The Biden Administration is terrified of losing its Proxy War in Ukraine (after what happened in Afghanistan).

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Make no mistake, right now NATO is considering all of its options. But our apparent commander-in-chief can’t even remember what year it is. Our Secretary of Defense is in and out of the hospital with a mystery illness. Decisions are being made by unknown and unaccountable underlings, who are probably youthful, marxist cross-dressers.

The risk of a bad decision being made has reached a pinnacle of incalculable insanity.

Of course, it is equally possible that cooler heads also behind the scenes will try to land this burning political plane without crashing it and killing everyone on board. But the truth is we are at a crossroads, a permanent inflection point, and something has got to give.

The good news is, while unacceptably high, the risks of a really bad decision are still remote. It is much more probably that a peaceful end of the Proxy War could be in view. So if you want something to pray for today, that would be it. And as I always say, what is most likely to happen is the thing that nobody thought of.

Have a blessed Sunday! Keep a stiff upper lip, do not worry, and roll back here tomorrow morning for your Coffee & Covid re-supply, since our lines have not been cut off.

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